In 564 words,the US told us that may rise next year,but it may not.The pre- their to keep rates near zero“for a ”.Now,they can be“”in ,but state that this with their .So,they the words,but not their ….That said,Fed Chair a more in the press , that this could means that rates will at at least for the first of next year.In ,the did not know what to make of the , up much in the .The press put the all major as the near term for rates was .
昨天美联储用了564个单词告诉我们，明年的政策也许会有，也许呢就不会有。会议之前的揣测集中在美联储是否会在“相当一段时间内”维持零利率。现在对于政策的正常化他们可以有“耐心”，不过言语之间和此前的陈述保持了一致。因此，他们说的话是不同了，但据说意思就……。新闻发布会上美联储主席耶伦看起来更加强硬，这意味着至少明年第一季度之内利率还是会维持在当前的水平。总之，美元还不知道如何应对这次会议声明，结果就是美元几乎没什么变化。但新闻发布会之后美元针对所有主要货币都更加坚挺，因为近期内利率变化之前景被调高了。
The the did show a in the pace of rate .The other piece of news has been the move to rates by the SNB.This will apply to sight ,with a-0.25%mid-point to the SNB’s range for 3-mth CHF LIBOR.This is not given the of ,but the CHF has been , some 0.4%.
和声明一起发布的预测数据显示出预期的利率增长在放慢。昨天另一个消息就是瑞士央行将利率调到负值。这对活期存款也有效，也是瑞士央行针对三个月CHF LIBOR(瑞士法郎伦敦同业拆借利率)的目标范围中间点的-0.25%。从欧元瑞士法郎当前的水平来看，这种局面并不令人吃惊，但瑞士法郎的反应比较平淡，一开始只疲软了差不多0.4%。
The IFO data today for will be the main focus early on,where a is .Also in focus will be UK sales and the usual data in the US.,an eye will be kept on the on the ,where some signs of were on and early this .But there a of going not only ,but many other and is to on the high side going into year end.
今天德国的IFO数据会是关注的焦点，预测会有小幅提升。同时处于焦点位置的还有英国的零售数据，以及周四惯常发布的美国失业救济申请数据。很自然我们还会关注俄罗斯的卢布，周三和今天上午出现了稳定的迹象。不过，目前不仅俄罗斯还不太稳定，其他许多新兴市场的货币也是如此；而年末之时，波动可能会继续保持高位。
耐心意味着相当一段时间，意味着美元几乎没有变化
The Fed the in their ,as many were ,but not the .,they will be in ,with this being with their of rates low for a“ ”.Next ,they may be for a ,which will have even more .After the ,the has from pre- .
美联储的声明措辞有所改变，正如很多人推测的那样，但我们都没猜到其意思的变化。很显然，他们对政策正常化表现出耐心，这和之前说的要在“相当一段时间内”维持低利率的言辞是一致的。下一个会议上，他们也许会更有耐心，当然也会让市场更加迷惑。美元经过一开始的波动之后，目前已经恢复到会议之前的水平。
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